Home Loan Interest Rates - 30 May 2024 (2024)

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Home Loan Interest Rates - 30 May 2024? ›

In its April Mortgage Finance Forecast, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicts that mortgage rates will fall from 6.8% in the first quarter of 2024 to 6.4% by the fourth quarter. The industry group expects rates will fall below the 6% threshold in the fourth quarter of 2025.

In its April Mortgage Finance Forecast, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicts that mortgage rates will fall from 6.8% in the first quarter of 2024 to 6.4% by the fourth quarter. The industry group expects rates will fall below the 6% threshold in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Mortgage rates can vary greatly depending on the type of loan, the lender, and the current market conditions. You'll likely see increases in mortgage payments in 2024 – whether you're refinancing to a new deal or defaulting to your bank's standard variable rate (SVR) - because interest rates have gone up.

If inflation falls significantly and the economy enters a deep recession, it is possible that mortgage rates could fall back to 3%. However, this scenario is considered unlikely by most economists.

Here's where three experts predict mortgage rates are heading: Around 6% or below by Q1 2025: "Rates hit 8% towards the end of last year, and right now we are seeing rates closer to 6.875%," says Haymore. "By the first quarter of 2025, mortgage rates could potentially fall below the 6% threshold, or maybe even lower."

At its March 2024 gathering the Fed decided to keep the federal funds target rate at 5.25% to 5.5%, where it has remained since July 2023. To combat ongoing inflation, the rate was raised 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023.

Today's mortgage rates

The national average 30-year mortgage rate is 7.10%, which is 22 basis points higher than this time last week. The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.39%. This is 23 basis points higher than last week.

The ideal time to lock your mortgage rate is when interest rates are at their lowest, but this is hard to predict — even for the experts. It's worth noting that interest rates could decrease during your lock period. Should this happen, you'll most likely have to pay the rate you initially locked in.

When inflation is running high, the Fed raises those short-term rates to slow the economy and reduce pressure on prices. But higher interest rates make it more expensive for banks to borrow, so they raise their rates on consumer loans, including mortgages, to compensate.

Will 2024 be a better time to buy a house? ›

In summary, buying a house in California in 2024 may be a good time for some buyers, depending on their personal and financial situation. The housing market is expected to rebound from a sluggish year in 2023, with more supply and demand, higher prices and affordability, and lower mortgage rates and inflation.

According to MCT housing market experts and other experts in the field, the likelihood of a real estate housing market crash in 2024 is low. Overall, while there are factors that could potentially lead to a housing market crash, the current market conditions point towards a more stable situation.

The pattern is clear: during every recession, the economy slows, inflation comes down, and mortgage rates decline.

Mortgage rate predictions 2024

The MBA's forecast suggests that 30-year mortgage rates will fall into the 6.4% to 6.7% range throughout the rest of 2024, and Fannie Mae is forecasting the same.

As of May 30, 2024, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 7.14%, 20-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.95%, 15-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.30%, and 10-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.06%. Average rates for other loan types include 7.04% for an FHA 30-year fixed mortgage and 7.24% for a jumbo 30-year fixed mortgage.

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

CD account interest rates will drop

"CD rates will most likely drop and drop substantially in 2024," says Robert Johnson, professor of finance at Heider College of Business at Creighton University. "The biggest reason is the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year."

Auto loan rates for new and used vehicle purchases fell in the first quarter of 2024 to 6.73% and 11.91%, respectively, down slightly from the 15-year highs we saw at the end of 2023, according to Experian.

However, increases should slow between 2024 and 2026, and rates may even decline in 2027. Among the factors that could impact mortgage rates in the next 5 years are inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and economic growth. Homebuyers should consider locking in a low mortgage rate now, as rates are expected to rise soon.”